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26/02/2008

Poll boost for Boris - but will his bus lane plan backfire on cyclists?

According to the latest opinion poll, Boris Johnson has opened up a five-point lead over Ken Livingstone in the race for City Hall.

A YouGov survey of 1,003 Londoners for London Tonight puts Boris on 44 per cent, Ken on 39 per cent and Brian Paddick on 12 per cent.

Compared to a similar poll by the same organisation over Christmas, Boris’s support has not changed, Ken has dropped six points and BP has jumped five, but is still polling well below his party nationally.

Today at his City Hall press conference, Uncle Ken declined to reveal the results from private polling for the Labour party.

This is believed to give him an 11 per cent lead over Boris when respondents are asked who they would chose for Mayor, but reduces to seven points when respondents were asked if they were likely to vote, and then to three per cent when it includes only those sure to vote.

Ken, who seemed relatively unruffled by the YouGov internet survey, said of the Labour poll: “You can tell from my face I wasn’t unhappy with it.”

As for Boris, he has jumped into the lion’s den with his pledge today to allow motorbikes into bus lanes.

This could pit the city’s most famous cyclist against many fellow pedalers, who believe that bus lanes are going to get a whole lot more terrifying if motorbikes and scooters are permitted.

As a city cyclist myself, my initial thought is that Boris has got it badly wrong. I know from experience that being “buzzed” by a lunatic on a scooter or a motorbike is terrifying – and carries the potential for a very nasty collision or fall indeed.

But the findings from a never-ending TfL pilot study of allowing “powered two wheelers” into bus lanes – it’s been carried out for more than three years on the A23 in Brixton and the A41 Finchley Road – says that in fact the move is safer for all concerned, and cuts accidents by almost half.

Uncle Ken fears incurring the wrath of militant cyclists and has declined to back or reject the initiative - instead calling for more analysis.

But let's look at the statistics. According to TfL, 19 cyclists were killed on London’s roads in 2006 and 373 were seriously injured. Among motorbikers etc, the figures were much higher – 43 fatalities and 805 serious injuries. (For reference, 100 pedestrian were killed on roads and 1,203 were seriously injured.)

The Mayor is committed to cutting casualties among all three groups by 2010, but TfL’s own safety advisors warn the desired 40 per cent reduction among motorcyclists and scooter riders is unlikely to materialise.

On this basis, allowing bikers to join cyclists in all bus lanes should be a good thing, and should save lives. But a voice in the back of my head continues to wonder whether this is a good move for those who bravely pedal their way around the city.

Comments

Not happy about this at all. There are so many motorcyclists on the road now, it's not as if one or two will be zooming past in the bus lanes, we'll surrounded by them. Big mistake.

I'm a cyclist, and I support bikers in bus lanes. I don't think it will make life any more dangerous for cyclists. And, bottom line, the study shows it saves lives. Anyone saying motorcylists should be keep out of bus lanes is in effect saying motorcyclists should keep dying. Nice.

I both cycle and ride a scooter. The thing that terrifies me in bus lanes is 20 tonne buses whizzing by with a couple of inches to spare. The backdraft can make you wobble alarmingly. A relatively lightweight motorcycle nipping past is simply not a problem. Motorcycle riders are also vulnerable road users, so have a real interest in not hitting anybody else on the road. Buses/taxis would just be looking at scraping their paintwork...

Perhaps bus lanes ought to be reclassified as priority lanes (or green lanes) and made wider to accommodate cyclists and motorcyclists more effectively. More space for sustainable travellers - whether on buses, on two wheels or even in cabs.

As cyclist, motorcyclist and bus driver I do not have an issue with more vehicles in a Bus Lane. Most of the time, bikers straying into a bus lane will be in, out, off and away with very little disruption.

Cyclists broadly fall into two differing types. Firstly, the 50% (Lycra clad) serious types who are no more bother than a motorcyclist above. Secondly the 49% more sedate types who will be going just slow enough to hold up the bus. This leaves the last one percent of nutters who view a bus lane as a two way highway and ride head-on at the bus and expect it to give way so that they can pass down the left-hand side between it and the kerb. And that was twice in February this year.

To be fair, there are probably one percent of nutters in all 3 categories.
Take care out there!

Why not just scrap bus lanes altogether?
They are dangerous and make congestion worse.
Anyway, why should the few get privileged passage over the many?

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